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NBA Season Projections & Playoff Odds

4/1/2026, 12:30:53 PM

To view playoff, finals, and championship odds, plus detailed team outlooks including seed projections, win distribution charts, and probability analysis:

EASTERN CONFERENCE
TeamCurrentProjectedWin %Games LeftPlayoff Odds
1
Pistons
54-2158-2470.7% 7100.0%
2
Celtics
50-2555-2767.1% 7100.0%
3
Knicks
48-2753-2964.6% 7100.0%
4
Cavaliers
47-2852-3063.4% 7100.0%
5
Raptors
42-3247-3557.3% 899.1%
6
Hawks
43-3345-3754.9% 693.6%
7
76ers
41-3444-3853.7% 765.9%
8
Heat
40-3643-3952.4% 660.2%
9
Magic
39-3543-3952.4% 847.6%
10
Hornets
39-3642-4051.2% 733.6%
11
Bucks
29-4532-5039.0% 80.0%
12
Bulls
29-4632-5039.0% 70.0%
13
Nets
18-5721-6125.6% 70.0%
14
Pacers
17-5820-6224.4% 70.0%
15
Wizards
17-5819-6323.2% 70.0%
WESTERN CONFERENCE
TeamCurrentProjectedWin %Games LeftPlayoff Odds
1
Thunder
60-1665-1779.3% 6100.0%
2
Spurs
57-1862-2075.6% 7100.0%
3
Lakers
49-2653-2964.6% 7100.0%
4
Nuggets
48-2852-3063.4% 6100.0%
5
Rockets
45-2951-3162.2% 8100.0%
6
T-Wolves
46-2950-3261.0% 799.9%
7
Suns
42-3345-3754.9% 782.8%
8
Clippers
39-3643-3952.4% 770.1%
9
Blazers
38-3841-4150.0% 628.3%
10
Warriors
36-3940-4248.8% 719.0%
11
Pelicans
25-5127-5532.9% 60.0%
12
Grizzlies
25-5027-5532.9% 70.0%
13
Mavericks
24-5126-5631.7% 70.0%
14
Jazz
21-5522-6026.8% 60.0%
15
Kings
19-5721-6125.6% 60.0%

Team Advancement Probabilities

Visualize each team's likelihood of reaching different playoff rounds. The size of each team's "orbit" scales with their Championship odds. Hover over a team for details (full odds available to subscribers).

Team Playoff Orbits

Round 2
Conf Finals
NBA Finals
Win Title
Orbit size scaled by Championship Odds
OKC

Oklahoma City Thunder

BOS

Boston Celtics

CLE

Cleveland Cavaliers

NYK

New York Knicks

SAS

San Antonio Spurs

DET

Detroit Pistons

DEN

Denver Nuggets

LAL

Los Angeles Lakers

MIN

Minnesota Timberwolves

HOU

Houston Rockets

TOR

Toronto Raptors

LAC

LA Clippers

PHX

Phoenix Suns

PHI

Philadelphia 76ers

ORL

Orlando Magic

CHA

Charlotte Hornets

GSW

Golden State Warriors

ATL

Atlanta Hawks

MIA

Miami Heat

POR

Portland Trail Blazers

Round 2
Conf Finals
NBA Finals
Win Title
Orbit size scaled by Championship Odds
Subscribe to see full details for all teams.

Most Likely Playoff Bracket

This bracket shows the most probable first-round matchups based on projected seeding, including simulated play-in results. Series win odds are shown for each matchup (full advancement odds available to subscribers).

Team 2nd RoundConf FinalsFinalsTitle
Oklahoma City Thunder------------
Boston Celtics------------
Cleveland Cavaliers------------
New York Knicks------------
San Antonio Spurs------------
Detroit Pistons------------
Denver Nuggets------------
Los Angeles Lakers------------
Minnesota Timberwolves------------
Houston Rockets------------
Toronto Raptors------------
LA Clippers------------
Phoenix Suns------------
Philadelphia 76ers------------
Orlando Magic------------
Charlotte Hornets------------
Golden State Warriors------------
Atlanta Hawks------------
Miami Heat------------
Portland Trail Blazers------------
Subscribe to see round-by-round advancement odds.